Accuracy · measuring

Does the score mean anything?

Tell can't say which token will go up. It looks for the people holding a knife. So the real test is: after Tell scored a token, did the deployer dump or the holders run? Here is what happened, by the risk level Tell gave it on day one.

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How it is measured.

Score
The first score Tell gave the token, before anyone knew how it would end.
Rugged
Within 3 days of that first check, the deployer sold 90% or more of the most they held after it (if that was at least 0.5% of supply), or the token lost half of its peak holders (from at least 20).
Sample
Tokens that reached at least 10 holders after the first check. Tell checks launches in their first minutes, before most buyers arrive; launches nobody bought have nothing to rug.
Clock
Every token is judged the same way: its state exactly 3 days after the first check, rebuilt from its on-chain transfer log. The result is frozen.
Not counted
Anything that happened before the first check (Tell had already seen it and scored it), tokens not launched on Pons, tokens with more than 40,000 transfers, stablecoins and tokenized stocks.
Good to know
  • A low score means Tell found no tell, not that the token will go up. Most launches die without anyone cheating.
  • A rug can also come from a wallet Tell didn't flag. That still counts against the score here.
  • Levels with few tokens move a lot week to week. The sample grows by hundreds of tokens a day.
  • Older scores were made by older versions of Tell; the checks keep improving.
Download the raw data ↓